Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 6.124102 7.105835 8.158873 9.368348 10.714934 12.163956 13.836837
2025-05-04 5.006625 6.394762 7.993373 9.953523 12.274346 14.916533 18.132985
2025-05-11 3.961614 5.549120 7.503773 10.047269 13.226323 17.024174 21.855964
2025-05-18 3.055612 4.693178 6.845797 9.809096 13.701895 18.557429 24.978037
2025-05-25 2.388652 4.016141 6.294460 9.599817 14.142578 20.029600 28.079623
2025-06-01 1.930314 3.538700 5.927016 9.561521 14.761041 21.726881 31.528933
2025-06-08 1.559915 3.117500 5.567735 9.470026 15.264959 23.267790 34.823007
2025-06-15 1.388609 2.982977 5.612772 9.956633 16.599370 25.991012 39.820982
2025-06-22 1.161861 2.705306 5.386793 9.992598 17.256792 27.780363 43.593113
2025-06-29 0.912414 2.329930 4.940441 9.620479 17.250738 28.593334 46.000257
2025-07-06 0.707474 1.991543 4.502941 9.203425 17.121833 29.191141 48.092117
2025-07-13 0.638518 1.925447 4.549442 9.605955 18.311662 31.801148 53.206463
2025-07-20 0.611297 1.953638 4.787037 10.378901 20.177308 35.561426 60.230529
2025-07-27 0.564473 1.925340 4.909750 10.954392 21.748537 38.935883 66.804406
2025-08-03 0.478009 1.775657 4.764893 11.021048 22.459741 40.992352 71.454337
2025-08-10 0.380042 1.564958 4.457597 10.745050 22.553513 42.062040 74.618515
2025-08-17 0.302710 1.385776 4.188023 10.508778 22.690307 43.192081 77.899351
2025-08-24 0.249697 1.261961 4.023393 10.461018 23.152105 44.858305 82.060318
2025-08-31 0.203057 1.140610 3.843128 10.358942 23.500032 46.338995 85.961973
2025-09-07 0.189197 1.134340 3.950905 10.878673 25.038592 49.878998 93.279141
2025-09-14 0.158660 1.050416 3.842953 10.915861 25.655725 51.863729 98.118620
2025-09-21 0.119676 0.909481 3.553901 10.515999 25.396289 52.317039 100.449210
2025-09-28 0.087708 0.777658 3.260375 10.068042 25.003286 52.506874 102.331214